Core Viewpoint - Zai Lab has announced a positive earnings forecast, expecting revenue for the first half of the year to be approximately 3.135 to 3.215 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of about 38% to 41.5% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be around 470 to 510 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 108.9% to 126.7% [1] - Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between 630 to 670 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of approximately 40.6% to 49.6% [1] Financial Performance - Revenue forecast for H1: 3.135 to 3.215 billion yuan, up 38% to 41.5% year-on-year [1] - Net profit forecast: 470 to 510 million yuan, up 108.9% to 126.7% year-on-year [1] - Adjusted EBITDA forecast: 630 to 670 million yuan, up 40.6% to 49.6% year-on-year [1] Future Outlook - The company’s social product revenue is performing exceptionally well, and AI empowerment is expected to drive future growth in social product revenue [1] - New products are anticipated to provide additional revenue streams [1] - Profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are set at 949 million, 1.225 billion, and 1.461 billion yuan respectively [1] Valuation Adjustments - The average P/E ratio for comparable companies in 2025 is 14 times, previously 12 times [1] - The company’s 2025 P/E valuation has been raised to 20 times, with the target price adjusted from 12.24 HKD to 14.6 HKD [1] - The rating remains "Buy" [1]
研报掘金|华泰证券:上调赤子城科技目标价至14.6港元 维持“买入”评级