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沪指行情分析:延续震荡上行态势!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-08 08:42

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is currently experiencing a correction phase after significant gains in June and July, with the Shanghai Composite Index standing above 3600 points [3]. Group 1: Current Market Adjustment - The current adjustment in the market is characterized as healthy, with anti-involution policies being implemented across various industries, which are expected to optimize the market environment and improve overall industry profitability [4]. - Key economic indicators such as the Producer Price Index (PPI) are anticipated to improve, indicating enhanced profitability for industrial enterprises, which will support the performance growth of related listed companies [4]. Group 2: Mid-term Upward Drivers - The global monetary policy easing cycle is ongoing, with major central banks, including the Federal Reserve, likely to continue interest rate cuts into 2025, providing liquidity support for the market [5]. - China's central bank has already initiated a combination of reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions, with further easing expected, which will benefit equity assets and push up risk asset valuations [5]. - The macroeconomic environment is gradually moving towards recovery, supported by proactive fiscal policies and moderate monetary policies, which aim to lower financing costs and enhance policy effectiveness [5]. Group 3: Technology Sector as a Core Investment Line - The technology sector remains a core investment focus for the medium to long term, with significant advancements expected in areas such as artificial intelligence and robotics by 2025 [6]. - Recent policies from the government aim to support technological innovation through various financial measures, encouraging investment in early-stage and hard technology sectors [7]. - The State Council has approved initiatives to promote the large-scale commercialization of artificial intelligence, leveraging China's comprehensive industrial system and market advantages [7].