ETF市场周报 | 美联储降息信号增强！避险资产表现优异，黄金相关ETF集体走强

Market Overview - Major indices experienced a rebound this week (August 4-8, 2025), with A-shares showing an overall increase, specifically the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 2.11%, Shenzhen Component Index by 1.25%, and ChiNext Index by 0.48% [1] - The Federal Reserve maintained the benchmark interest rate in the range of 4.25% to 4.50%, contributing to a cautious market sentiment [1] - The manufacturing PMI for July remained below the growth line, indicating a decline in demand, while the market showed a preference for conservative investments, with value sectors outperforming growth sectors [1] ETF Performance - Gold-related ETFs saw significant gains, with the Gold Stock ETF (159562) and Gold Stock ETF (517400) rising over 9%, driven by signals of potential interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve [1] - The average increase for all ETFs in the market was 1.24%, with commodity ETFs performing particularly well, up by 1.77% [1] Fund Trends - There was a substantial net inflow of 10.767 billion yuan into the ETF market during the week, indicating high market activity [4] - Cross-border ETFs continued to perform strongly, with inflows reaching 9.841 billion yuan, while bond ETFs also attracted over 6.5 billion yuan [4][7] Bond ETF Activity - Bond ETFs experienced significant inflows amid rising risk aversion, with specific funds like Silver Hua Daily ETF (511880) and Short-term Bond ETF (511360) each seeing inflows exceeding 1.6 billion yuan [7][8] - The Short-term Bond ETF (511360) achieved a weekly trading volume exceeding 118.18 billion yuan, leading the market [8] Upcoming ETF Listings - Four new ETFs are set to launch next week, including the E Fund CSI A50 Enhanced Strategy ETF (512030), which aims to reflect the performance of the largest 50 companies in various sectors [9] - The Penghua National Robot Industry ETF (159278) will track the National Robot Index, focusing on core segments of the robotics industry [9][10] Industry Insights - The global gold mining companies are expected to see a continued increase in profit per ounce, with a projected tax-pre profit of $1,546 per ounce in 1H25, a 63% increase from 2024 [2] - The implementation of the "High-Quality Development Implementation Plan for the Gold Industry (2025-2027)" is anticipated to further enhance the growth potential of gold companies [2]