Rigetti Computing: Sell RGTI Stock Ahead of Its Earnings?

Core Insights - Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ:RGTI) is expected to announce its earnings on August 12, 2025, with historical trends indicating a higher likelihood of negative one-day returns following earnings announcements [3][4] - The company is an early-stage quantum technology firm that has not yet achieved profitability, with analysts predicting a revenue contraction for Q2, estimating revenue at $1.87 million, down from $3.09 million in the same quarter last year [4][5] - Rigetti's current market capitalization stands at $4.5 billion, with total revenue of $9.2 million over the past twelve months, resulting in an operating loss of -$74 million and a net loss of -$138 million [5] Historical Performance - Over the past five years, Rigetti's stock has recorded a negative one-day return in 57% of earnings announcements, with a median loss of -6.9% and a maximum loss of -14.6% [3][4] - In the last three years, the percentage of positive one-day returns has increased to 42%, with a median of 7.8% for positive returns [8] Trading Strategies - Traders can position themselves based on historical probabilities before and after earnings reports, evaluating the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns [6][7] - Correlation data between one-day and subsequent five-day returns can provide insights for trading strategies, particularly if a positive one-day return is observed [9]