Ge Long Hui·2025-08-10 03:21Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong financial market showed a strong recovery in the first half of 2025, with multiple indicators reaching historical highs. The average daily trading amount on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange reached HKD 240.2 billion, a significant year-on-year increase of 118%, marking the highest level since 2010 [1] - The average daily trading amount of the Southbound Stock Connect reached HKD 110.96 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 195%, indicating a notable increase in participation from mainland investors [1] - The derivatives market also performed well, with average daily trading volume of futures and options increasing by 11% year-on-year, and the average daily trading volume of RMB currency futures rising by 43%, highlighting the acceleration of RMB internationalization [1] Group 2: Market Capitalization and New Listings - As of June 30, 2025, the total market capitalization of Hong Kong reached HKD 42.7 trillion, a 33% increase compared to the same period last year, driven by the recovery of Chinese mainland economic conditions and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's continuous optimization of listing regulations [2] - In the first half of 2025, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange received over 200 listing applications, with total new stock financing amounting to USD 14.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 695%, significantly surpassing the global new stock financing growth of 8% [2] - It is expected that more than 80 medium to large enterprises will advance their plans for A-share or secondary listings in Hong Kong throughout the year [2] Group 3: Investment Outlook - The target price for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange has been raised to HKD 500.0, maintaining a buy rating based on strong fundamentals, including an average daily trading volume exceeding HKD 240 billion and record net inflows from Southbound funds [2] - The valuation corresponds to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 42 times, reflecting a 15.8% increase from the previous trading day's closing price, with a safety margin as it remains below the historical bull market average of 44.7 times [2] - The Hong Kong stock market is currently undergoing a critical phase of valuation recovery and structural transformation, with significant long-term investment value despite potential short-term volatility due to policy expectations [2]