Ge Long Hui·2025-08-10 03:33Core Viewpoint - Pacific Basin Shipping reported disappointing 1H25 results, with a significant decline in revenue and net profit, primarily due to lower-than-expected time charter equivalent (TCE) rates amid soft industry conditions [1] Financial Performance - Revenue decreased by 20.5% year-over-year to US$1,019 million in 1H25 - Attributable net profit was US$26 million, resulting in an earnings per share (EPS) of HK$3.9, down 55.6% year-over-year - Underlying earnings, excluding asset disposal income, were US$22 million, a 50% decline year-over-year [1] - The realized freight rate fell year-over-year, but remained above industry averages, with TCE rates for small and large handy vessels decreasing by 7% and 11% year-over-year to US$11,010/day and US$12,230/day, respectively [1] Share Buyback and Dividend Policy - The company plans to repurchase up to HK$312 million in shares during 2025, having already repurchased 93 million shares (1.8% of share capital) for HK$164 million by the end of June [2] - The dividend payout ratio for 1H25 was approximately 50%, maintaining a stable dividend policy [2] Balance Sheet Strength - As of 1H25, the company had net cash of US$66 million and reduced long-term borrowings, enhancing its cash position and alleviating future interest payment pressures [3] - The firm is expected to complete the conversion or redemption of its convertible bonds by August 14 [3] Industry Trends - Limited new supply is anticipated, with expectations for improving supply and demand conditions for small vessels [4] - Demand for minor bulk cargo is closely linked to global economic growth, with potential benefits from the peak season for grain exports in 2H25 [5] - The firm sold five old vessels and acquired three newer vessels, enhancing the competitiveness of its fleet [5] Valuation - The stock is currently trading at 9.8x 2025 estimated P/E and 8.8x 2026 estimated P/E - The target price has been raised by 14.3% to HK$2.4, implying a P/E of 10.1x for 2025 and 9.1x for 2026, with a potential upside of 4.3% [6]