扩内需等政策持续发力，7月核心CPI涨幅连续3个月扩大

Core Viewpoint - The continuous effect of the domestic demand expansion policy is leading to positive changes in consumer prices, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showing stability and slight increases in certain areas [1][2]. CPI Analysis - In July, the CPI remained flat year-on-year, with a month-on-month increase of 0.4%, reversing a previous decline of 0.1% [1]. - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.8% year-on-year, marking the highest increase since March 2024 [5]. - Food prices saw a significant decline, with fresh vegetable prices dropping by 7.6% and pork prices decreasing by 9.5%, contributing to the overall CPI stability [2][5]. Price Contributions - Service and industrial consumer goods prices were the main drivers of the CPI increase, with service prices rising by 0.6% month-on-month and industrial prices increasing by 0.5% [3][4]. - Specific price increases in the travel sector, such as airfares and accommodation, significantly impacted the CPI, contributing approximately 0.21 percentage points to the month-on-month increase [4]. PPI Insights - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 0.2% month-on-month in July, primarily due to seasonal factors affecting manufacturing and construction [6]. - Certain industries, such as non-metallic mineral products and coal mining, experienced price declines, but the overall rate of decline has narrowed, indicating potential stabilization [7][8]. - Expectations for August suggest a possible improvement in PPI, driven by a low base effect and ongoing domestic demand recovery [8].