Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that both light and heavy rare earths are expected to see price increases in the future, with supply tightening and demand maintaining a growth trend [1] - The Chinese government has implemented four rounds of export controls on strategic metal resources in 2023, with an increasing number of metal categories and faster implementation times [2] - Previous export controls have led to price increases for metals such as gallium, germanium, and antimony, indicating a similar trend may occur for tungsten and medium-heavy rare earth elements in the coming months [3] Group 2 - The supply of light rare earths is expected to be limited due to the lack of publicly available mining quota information from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology [4] - Demand for light rare earths is projected to grow significantly, driven by the increase in production of new energy vehicles and wind power installations [5] - China dominates global rare earth smelting and separation capacity, accounting for approximately 88.56% of the total, although this share is expected to decrease in the coming years as other countries increase their capacities [6]
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