燕京啤酒(000729)：扣非归母超出预告上限 改革成效持续兑现

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 8.56 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.1 billion yuan, up 45.4% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.73 billion yuan, a 6.1% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 940 million yuan, reflecting a 43.0% year-on-year growth [1] - The company outperformed the industry despite a subdued external consumption environment, with beer sales volume increasing by 2.6% to 1.357 million tons in Q2 2025 [1] Revenue Performance - For H1 2025, the company’s revenue from mid-to-high-end beer reached 5.5 billion yuan, growing by 9.3% year-on-year, while revenue from regular beer was 2.4 billion yuan, up 1.6% year-on-year [1] - The average revenue per ton of beer increased by 3.4% year-on-year to 3,487.4 yuan/ton in Q2 2025 [1] - Revenue contributions from different regions in H1 2025 showed significant growth, with East China up 20.5% and Central China up 15.4% [2] Cost and Profitability - In Q2 2025, the company’s cost per ton increased by 4.7%, while the gross profit margin decreased by 0.6 percentage points to 47.7% [3] - The company managed to reduce sales and management expense ratios by 4.0 and 1.9 percentage points respectively in Q2 2025, leading to a significant improvement in profitability [3] - The operating profit margin for Q2 2025 was 25.6%, an increase of 6.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin attributable to shareholders was 19.8%, up 5.1 percentage points [3] Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 15.51 billion, 16.24 billion, and 16.94 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.7%, 4.7%, and 4.3% [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 1.47 billion, 1.75 billion, and 2.02 billion yuan for the same years, reflecting significant growth rates of 39.0%, 18.9%, and 15.7% respectively [4]