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高盛:64%关税成本由美企“买单”,消费者仅承担22%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-08-11 01:13

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs analysis indicates that as of June, 64% of tariff costs are absorbed by U.S. companies, 22% by U.S. consumers, and 14% by foreign exporters [1] - Tariffs have caused the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index to rise by 0.2 percentage points as of June, with an expected additional increase of 0.66 percentage points for the remainder of the year [1] - The core PCE inflation rate is projected to reach 3.2% year-on-year, but would moderate to 2.4% when excluding tariff impacts [1] Group 2 - Early earnings reports convey mixed signals regarding profit margin outlook, with companies announcing only slight price increases so far [2] - Companies facing significant tariff impacts are raising prices more substantially, while those unable to pass on costs may experience pressure on profit margins [2] - Some companies are leveraging accumulated inventory to mitigate the impact of tariffs on their profit margins, with the inventory-to-sales ratio for S&P 500 constituents remaining stable [2]