中美关税战胜负已分，美媒说出大实话，人民日报喜讯通告全球，关键时刻，美总统接班人浮出水面？

Group 1: Trade War Background - The U.S. initiated a tariff war against China in 2018 to balance trade and promote manufacturing return, starting with a $50 billion tariff on goods, which later expanded to over $200 billion, affecting nearly all exports to China by mid-2019 [3] - The initial goals of the tariff war have not been fully realized, leading to significant challenges for U.S. companies, particularly those reliant on Chinese components, resulting in increased costs and supply chain issues [3][4] - The U.S. agricultural sector has been severely impacted, with average farmer income dropping by 30% due to the loss of China as a major buyer, leading to over 30,000 farms filing for bankruptcy [3] Group 2: Economic Consequences - The U.S. government has issued substantial financial subsidies to mitigate the impact on voters, exceeding the agricultural support budget of the past decade, but this has led to rising production costs and inflation [4] - The U.S. has also imposed tariffs on traditional allies like the EU, Japan, and Canada, damaging its international reputation and trustworthiness [4] - Despite claims of manufacturing return, less than 30% of industries have actually returned to the U.S., while inflation has surged, and national debt is projected to exceed $35 trillion by 2024 [4] Group 3: China's Response - China has adopted a measured response to the trade war, focusing on market diversification and expanding exports to ASEAN, Africa, and Latin America, with exports to ASEAN surpassing those to the U.S. in 2023 [5] - The Chinese government has implemented supportive policies for small and medium enterprises, including tax reductions and loan subsidies, aiding recovery and competitiveness [5] - China possesses critical resources like rare earth elements, which have heightened U.S. concerns about dependency, indicating a shift in the balance of power in the trade conflict [5] Group 4: Current Economic Performance - In the first half of the year, China's economy grew by 5.3%, while the U.S. only achieved 1.25% growth, highlighting the failure of the U.S. strategy to suppress China's economy through tariffs [6] - The ongoing trade conflict has shown that China has demonstrated resilience and adaptability, while the U.S. faces numerous economic challenges [8] - The future of U.S.-China relations remains uncertain, but China is committed to its development path and aims to contribute to global economic stability [8]