张津镭：黄金周初高空为主，警惕特朗普黑天鹅

Core Viewpoint - The overall gold market has shown limited volatility, fluctuating around the $3400 mark, with a focus on geopolitical events and upcoming economic data that could influence prices [1] Group 1: Market Analysis - Last week, gold closed with two consecutive gains, indicating a potential upward trend despite recent fluctuations [1] - The upcoming meeting between Trump and Putin on August 15 is a key event, with potential implications for gold prices depending on the outcome of discussions regarding the Ukraine conflict [1] - Current market sentiment is leaning towards a bearish outlook for gold, influenced by the anticipation of the CPI data release and a stronger dollar [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis - The technical structure suggests a focus on resistance levels around $3385-$3390; failure to break above these levels may lead to continued downward movement [2] - Immediate support levels to watch are between $3360-$3350, indicating a potential range for gold prices in the short term [2] - A trading strategy is recommended to focus on short positions at higher levels while remaining cautious of unexpected fundamental changes [2] Group 3: Trading Recommendations - A specific trading strategy suggests shorting gold at $3380-$3382 with a stop loss at $3390 and a target of $3360-$3350 [3] - If gold stabilizes above $3390, a reversal to long positions may be considered [3]