明晚油价又迎调整窗口！预测来了

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that there is a high probability of no adjustment in domestic refined oil retail prices during the upcoming price adjustment window on August 12 [1][2] - The current pricing mechanism for domestic refined oil is based on the comparison of the weighted average price of international crude oil over the past 10 working days with the previous week's average price [1] - As of August 11, the average price of reference crude oil was $68.48 per barrel, with a change rate of 0.30%, suggesting a potential increase of 20 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel prices [1] Group 2 - Analysts from Zhaochuang Information predict that crude oil prices may continue to fluctuate, with market sentiment leaning towards bearish due to ongoing geopolitical factors and supply concerns [2] - The expectation of a strong supply side, driven by OPEC+ production increases, has contributed to the weak fluctuations in oil prices [1][2] - The adjustment threshold for refined oil prices is set at 50 yuan per ton, and the calculated increase of 20 yuan per ton is below this threshold, indicating no price change [1]