房子跌价了快一半，还有机会涨回来吗？

Core Viewpoint - The potential for housing prices to rebound after a nearly 50% decline depends on various macroeconomic and market factors, with a low likelihood of a short-term surge, although certain local areas or prime locations may still have upward potential [1]. Group 1: Policy Regulation - Policy easing, such as the cancellation of purchase restrictions and relaxed loan conditions, could stimulate market recovery, but this is contingent on whether residents can bear the current high leverage ratios [4]. - Currently, high leverage ratios limit the space for significant price increases [4]. Group 2: Population Flow Trends - In the long term, the continuous migration of the population towards urban core areas will create supply shortages in certain locations, driving prices up; however, this is dependent on the technology cycle and economic growth momentum [4]. Group 3: Market Adjustment Demand - The removal of market bubbles, such as a 30-40% drop in housing prices, could activate genuine demand and increase transaction volumes; however, the overall surplus issue constrains rapid rebounds [4]. - The opportunity for housing price recovery mainly exists in areas with population inflows, requiring support from inflation or technological breakthroughs; investors should pay attention to policy trends and regional differences [4].