A股低价股数量锐减，当前牛市进入第几阶段？

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown signs of a bull market, having risen nearly 1,000 points since the low of 2,689 points in September last year, indicating a technical bull market as it has surpassed a 20% increase from the low point [2][4]. Market Performance - On August 11, the Shanghai Composite Index reached a new high of 3,656.85 points, just 20 points shy of the 2024 peak of 3,674 points, despite daily trading volumes remaining below 2 trillion yuan [3]. - The current A-share market has not yet established a true bull market, as it has not effectively broken through the resistance levels of 3,674 points and 3,731 points from 2021 [4][6]. Stock Trends - The number of low-priced stocks (below 2 yuan) and stocks with a price-to-book ratio below 1 has significantly decreased, a typical phenomenon in a bull market. There are currently fewer than 37 low-priced stocks, down from over 150 a year ago [4][5]. - Historically, banks and brokerages lead the initial phase of a bull market, followed by cyclical industries such as coal, non-ferrous metals, and real estate in the mid-phase, with low-priced stocks experiencing significant price increases [5]. Market Resistance and Future Outlook - The A-share market is approaching critical resistance levels between 3,674 and 3,731 points, and a breakthrough could signify the official entry into a true bull market [6]. - The total market capitalization of the A-share market has exceeded 100 trillion yuan, making it unlikely to experience a uniform rise and fall like in 2007 and 2015 [6]. - The potential for upward movement in the A-share market may depend on the Federal Reserve's actions regarding interest rate cuts, with expectations of three rate cuts this year, which could positively impact emerging markets [7].