帮主郑重深夜解读：美股突遭200点暴击！CPI数据定生死，三颗暗雷已埋好

Group 1 - 91% of fund managers believe US stocks are "too expensive," the highest level since 2001, indicating a potential market bubble [3] - The Nasdaq reached a record high of 21,549 points before a 0.3% drop, suggesting a retreat by bullish investors ahead of the CPI data [3] - The market anticipates a July CPI increase of 2.8% year-on-year, with core CPI potentially rising to 3.1%, significantly above the Federal Reserve's 2% target [3][4] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve is experiencing internal conflict, with two board members publicly advocating for immediate interest rate cuts [4] - Current futures market pricing shows an 87% probability of a rate cut in September, but there are warnings that stubborn inflation could prevent this [5] Group 3 - Nvidia and AMD are reportedly paying 15% of their revenue from chip sales to China to the US government for export licenses, which could set a precedent for other companies [6] - Gold prices fell 2.6% in a single day, with potential new tariffs on Swiss gold bars creating uncertainty in the safe-haven asset market [7] Group 4 - Recommendations for long-term positioning include maintaining cash reserves until CPI data is released, and reducing exposure to high-valuation tech stocks if core CPI exceeds 3.1% [8] - Suggested hedging strategies include investing in short-duration US Treasuries and utility stocks to withstand market volatility [9] - There is a focus on domestic alternatives, particularly in the Huawei Ascend supply chain, which has seen significant institutional investment [10]