“反内卷”与“大基建”并行，红利有望受益

Group 1 - Southbound funds have continued to flow into the Hong Kong stock market for 24 months, with a strong preference for high-dividend assets, particularly in the banking sector, which has seen a net inflow of over 21 million in the past year [1][17] - The Hong Kong dividend low-volatility ETF (520550) has outperformed major indices, with a 28.1% increase over the past six months, significantly surpassing the Hang Seng Index (20.22%) and the Hang Seng Tech Index (6.94%) [3] - The current trading environment for Hong Kong dividend assets is not overheated, as the trading congestion level remains relatively low compared to historical data [3][12] Group 2 - Certain dividend assets are expected to benefit from "anti-involution" and "large infrastructure" initiatives, with domestic policies targeting both supply and demand sides, which may improve the profitability outlook for cyclical dividend assets [6][24] - The total cash dividends for Hong Kong stocks are projected to reach 1.38 trillion HKD in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of over 10%, indicating a dividend peak with 925 companies announcing dividends [16] - The Hong Kong dividend ETF market is experiencing accelerated growth, with a total scale exceeding 40 billion, and a 40% increase in inflows year-to-date [19]