Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are significantly influenced by U.S. labor data and potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, which could lead to increased liquidity and a favorable environment for gold investments [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold prices experienced a notable increase on August 1, rising from 3281 to 3363, attributed to non-farm payroll data [1]. - The Federal Reserve's response to economic pressures may lead to a new cycle of interest rate cuts, which historically benefits both the stock market and gold prices [2]. - A recent decline in gold prices from 3405 to 3341 indicates market volatility, with a large bearish candle suggesting a potential shift in trading strategy towards short positions [2][3]. Group 2: Trading Strategy - The current trading strategy leans towards shorting gold unless significant conditions arise that push prices above 3390 [4]. - Investors are advised to consider the difference between price increases and corrections, emphasizing the importance of market conditions before making trading decisions [5]. - A rebound in gold prices is expected to occur around 3372, with a more favorable shorting opportunity if prices reach 3385 [5]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The long-term bullish trend in gold remains intact, with attention on whether August can break previous high points; failure to do so may limit upward potential [8]. - The analysis of monthly charts indicates ongoing bullish cycles, with historical patterns suggesting careful monitoring of price movements for future trading decisions [8].
黄金奢望新高走势夭折了,黄金反弹要参与空头交易!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-12 02:10