特朗普捅了“马蜂窝”，印度和巴西接连强硬反击，莫迪火速决定访华，一场更大风暴将席卷美国！

Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the U.S. imposing a 25% tariff on Indian goods, leading to a significant geopolitical response from India, including Prime Minister Modi's confirmation to attend the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit and a cooperation agreement with Russia on aluminum, fertilizers, and mining technology [1] - The comprehensive tariff rate on Indian goods has surged to 50%, impacting a trade volume of $12.6 billion, which constitutes 28% of India's total exports to the U.S. The most affected sectors include refined petroleum products ($3.2 billion), specialty chemicals ($2.4 billion), and machinery parts ($1.8 billion) [1] - The U.S. sanctions mechanism operates on a "guilty until proven innocent" principle, which has provoked strong backlash from India's elite, as it penalizes companies based on their knowledge of Russian oil transactions [1] Group 2 - Modi's participation in the SCO summit is seen as a strategic move to enhance India's value on a multilateral platform, while Brazil has submitted evidence to the WTO highlighting the hypocrisy of U.S. trade policies, particularly targeting localization clauses in the Inflation Reduction Act and the misuse of national security exceptions for steel and aluminum tariffs [3] - Brazil's legal team, led by former WTO judge David A. O'Neill, has detailed a claim for $4.7 billion in losses, with the timing of the lawsuit coinciding with the trial phase of the WTO's reformed arbitration appeal mechanism [3] - The collaboration among developing countries is noteworthy, with India sharing legal templates and South Africa announcing a new app for local currency transactions among BRICS nations, indicating a shift towards alternative trade practices [3] Group 3 - The U.S. government has underestimated India's resistance, misjudging Modi's position and the influence of Hindu nationalist sentiments, which compel him to take a strong stance on sensitive issues like beef imports [5] - The effectiveness of U.S. sanctions has diminished, as India has established a direct exchange channel between the rupee and the ruble, allowing for transactions that bypass the dollar, particularly in defense procurement [5] - Three clear trends are emerging: the WTO is undergoing significant reforms, Brazil's lawsuit may set a precedent for smaller nations to retaliate against major powers abusing national security exceptions, and the cracks in dollar hegemony are widening as India demonstrates that commodity transactions can occur without the dollar [5] Group 4 - Brazil's government has formally initiated dispute consultation procedures within the WTO, emphasizing its commitment to multilateral trade dispute resolution mechanisms, despite the limited immediate impact of this action [7] - The Brazilian Foreign Ministry has submitted a request for consultations to the U.S. delegation at the WTO, reflecting Brazil's stance on the importance of dialogue in resolving trade disputes [7]