Workflow
顶流基金经理的“蓝筹困局”,刘彦春与市场的错位
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-12 04:57

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the Invesco Great Wall Emerging Growth Fund has lagged behind the CSI 300 Index, with a year-to-date return trailing by 6 percentage points and a three-year decline of nearly 30%, reflecting a significant disconnect between the fund manager's investment style and market trends [2][3]. Group 1: Fund Performance - As of July 28, 2025, the fund's net value growth rate has fallen behind the CSI 300 Index by 6 percentage points, with a cumulative decline of approximately 30% over the past three years [3]. - The fund's top holdings, including Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye, have not seen a deterioration in fundamentals, but the market's valuation premium has vanished, with the liquor sector's price-to-earnings ratio dropping from 40 times in 2021 to around 20 times currently [2][3]. Group 2: Market Trends - The shift in market focus towards emerging industries such as AI and low-altitude economy has diminished the attractiveness of traditional blue-chip stocks, leading to a structural underperformance of the fund [2][3]. - The stock price of Kweichow Moutai has fluctuated around 1400 yuan since peaking at 2600 yuan in February 2021, while stocks like CATL have surged over 200% during the same period [3]. Group 3: Fund Management Strategy - The fund manager's decision not to invest proprietary funds into the fund has raised concerns about confidence in future performance, contrasting with other leading public funds that have announced buybacks at market lows [4][5]. - The fund manager maintains a narrative of confidence in economic recovery, citing that once asset prices stabilize, domestic demand will rebound, but this strategy risks missing short-term opportunities and could lead to further investor attrition [5][6]. Group 4: Investment Style and Challenges - The fund's portfolio remains heavily weighted in traditional blue-chip stocks, despite some adjustments towards consumer upgrade targets, which has been characterized as "overly defensive" by industry experts [5][6]. - The broader public fund industry faces challenges in adapting to rapidly changing market dynamics, particularly for large fund managers with over 50 billion in assets under management, as they navigate the balance between investment philosophy and evolving market styles [5][6].