智库要览丨“中国绿”持续照亮全球能源未来

Group 1: China's Green Energy Transition - China is leading the global green and low-carbon energy transition, with significant growth in renewable energy installations in 2025 [1][30] - By the end of June 2025, China's renewable energy installed capacity reached 2.159 billion kilowatts, accounting for approximately 59.2% of total installed capacity [10][21] - In the first half of 2025, renewable energy installations totaled 268 million kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 99.3%, with wind and solar power contributing significantly [9][20] Group 2: Renewable Energy Cost Competitiveness - The International Renewable Energy Agency reported that renewable energy helped avoid $467 billion in fossil fuel expenditures globally in 2024, confirming its cost-effectiveness [3][25] - The levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for new utility-scale onshore wind projects was $0.034 per kWh, making it the cheapest renewable energy source [3][26] - The total installed cost (TIC) for solar photovoltaic technology is projected to drop to $388 per kilowatt in the next five years [3][26] Group 3: Global Energy Market Restructuring - The global energy market is undergoing significant restructuring due to rising geopolitical risks and the need for energy security, with countries reevaluating their energy strategies [2][5] - Six structural changes are identified as reshaping the energy market, including the impact of Middle Eastern conflicts on oil prices and the push for LNG diversification [5][6] - The International Energy Agency forecasts a slowdown in global natural gas demand growth in 2025, followed by an acceleration in 2026 [7][8] Group 4: Energy Storage and Technological Advancements - China's new energy storage industry is transitioning from early commercialization to large-scale development, with significant increases in installed capacity [18][19] - The average storage duration for new energy storage projects in China has increased to 2.3 hours, reflecting advancements in technology [19][34] - The integration of artificial intelligence in energy management is expected to enhance efficiency while also increasing energy consumption [6][27] Group 5: Future Projections and Challenges - By the end of 2025, non-fossil energy generation capacity in China is expected to reach approximately 240 million kilowatts, accounting for about 61% of total installed capacity [20][21] - The rapid expansion of renewable energy brings challenges such as volatility in generation, insufficient storage facilities, and limited grid capacity [16][31] - The report suggests building a multi-layered, diversified energy supply system to mitigate energy security risks [17][32]