财通资管李晶的抗周期锚点：寻找定义行业的“万能接口”

Core Insights - The World Artificial Intelligence Conference 2025 showcased the rapid transformation of various industries through AI technology, emphasizing the potential of "universal interfaces" that connect different sectors and support diverse applications [1] - Investment manager Li Jing believes that companies with cross-scenario applicability and foundational technologies will serve as "anti-cyclical anchors" in technology investments, driving continuous innovation and prosperity in the AI ecosystem [1] Investment Strategy - Li Jing has over 16 years of experience in the TMT sector and emphasizes the importance of balancing growth potential with downside protection in her investment framework [2][3] - The investment approach incorporates a focus on "odds," assessing both upward growth and downward safety margins, particularly during market volatility [2] - A comprehensive industry analysis framework is established to identify high-growth companies at reasonable valuations [2][3] Selection Criteria - Companies that define industries rather than being defined by customers are prioritized, as they tend to have higher return on equity (ROE) and stronger market positions [4] - Li Jing focuses on firms with universal technologies or standardized products, which are less vulnerable to customer concentration risks [4] Emerging Opportunities - Li Jing identifies undervalued intersections in industries such as semiconductors, machinery, chemicals, electronics, and software, where technology drives higher success rates [6] - A specific example includes the undervaluation of copper connection technology in AI infrastructure, which was recognized as a significant investment opportunity despite market misconceptions favoring optical modules [6] Verification and Validation - The investment strategy emphasizes "verifiability" to enhance success rates and identify positive turning points in industry development [7] - Cross-industry and cross-segment validation is employed to improve judgment accuracy, using downstream customer data to assess the performance of companies [7] Future Trends - Li Jing is particularly optimistic about AI-enabled terminal hardware, viewing robots as the ultimate form of AI application, with a focus on system-on-chip (SoC) technology as a core beneficiary [8] - The investment strategy includes a proactive approach to increasing exposure to overseas computing power, especially in ASIC technology, while maintaining a strong outlook on AI hardware [8] Risk Management - The investment strategy follows a GARP (Growth at a Reasonable Price) approach, focusing on intrinsic value and entering positions when undervalued [9] - Core positions are held long-term, while trading positions are adjusted flexibly to balance risk and return [10] Team Dynamics - The company fosters an open and inclusive culture that encourages deep research and value investing, allowing for personal insights and adaptability in investment strategies [14][15] - The investment team, with an average of 13 years of experience, emphasizes the importance of industry background to capture emerging trends effectively [15] Continuous Improvement - The team maintains a commitment to exploring new strategies and products, ensuring a proactive approach to changes in technology and market dynamics [17]