澳洲联储:下调GDP增速预期,通胀预测留宽松空间
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-12 08:13

Core Points - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has implemented an interest rate cut while also revising down its growth and productivity outlook, indicating a potential decline in the living standards and income of the country's 27 million residents [1] - Despite the rate cut, the RBA maintains its expectations for core inflation to ease and the unemployment rate to remain stable, allowing for further easing of monetary policy [1] Economic Outlook - The GDP growth forecast for 2025 has been reduced from 2.1% in May to 1.7% [1] - Both total supply and demand expectations have been downgraded, yet the central bank's predictions for inflation and the labor market remain unchanged [1] Inflation Projections - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the sixth quarter stands at 2.1%, with expectations to peak at 3.1% by mid-next year, before declining to 2.5% by the end of 2027 [1] - This projected inflation level is at the midpoint of the central bank's long-term target range of 2%-3%, creating conditions for monetary policy easing [1]