Core Insights - VisionPulsed has downplayed the bullish expectations for Dogecoin, stating that reaching the long-sought $1 mark requires precise coordination of market forces, which are currently lacking [2] - The overall market structure remains imperfect, making a parabolic breakout for Dogecoin difficult to achieve [2] Market Conditions - A decisive breakout of Ethereum to new highs and an extended halving cycle, along with global M2 liquidity support, are necessary for Dogecoin's next parabolic move [2] - Bitcoin's dominance rebound has weakened the prospects for altcoins to rally collectively [2] Ethereum's Role - Ethereum has improved its setup by reaching new cycle highs and breaking the $4,000 mark, but it is still below two significant technical barriers from 2021 [2] - A confirmation of a new bull market for Ethereum is expected only after it breaks these high points [2] Dogecoin's Current Status - Dogecoin is currently in a broad and volatile accumulation phase, which may include false breakouts rather than a definitive upward trend [3] - The price of DOGE is currently at $0.22 [5] Timing and Historical Context - The analysis highlights a critical timing aspect, noting that the 486 days following the last Bitcoin halving have historically been turning points [3] - The next halving is set for April 19, 2024, with a similar threshold expected on August 18, 2025 [3] M2 Liquidity Insights - M2 liquidity remains supportive but is not a decisive factor; it has shown to continue rising even during bear markets in the past [4] - Three conditions must be met for Dogecoin to sustainably approach $1: Ethereum must break its 2021 high, the halving cycle must extend, and global M2 expansion must maintain sufficient support [4] Price Volatility - Significant price fluctuations around $0.30 are possible without structural adjustments, defined as a tradable range within a larger consolidation phase [4]
狗狗币暴涨至1美元？分析师揭秘：唯有这关键条件达成，奇迹才会发生！
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-12 08:59