“AI让你变成10x工程师？其实是一个骗局......”

Core Viewpoint - The discussion around AI's potential to increase engineer productivity by 10x or even 100x is largely exaggerated, driven by commercial interests and management pressures, rather than reflecting the real experiences of developers [1][2][3]. Group 1: AI Tools and Developer Experience - Many developers feel anxious about their skills in the face of AI advancements, fearing they may become obsolete if they do not adapt quickly [2][3]. - AI tools like Claude Code and Cursor are seen as useful for repetitive tasks but often struggle with understanding specific codebases and can introduce errors [5][6]. - The actual productivity gains from using AI tools are often overstated, with many developers finding that AI can assist but not replace the need for human oversight and expertise [9][12]. Group 2: Misconceptions about Productivity Gains - The claim of achieving 10x efficiency is misleading, as it implies that all aspects of software development, including communication and testing, would also need to improve by the same factor, which is unrealistic [8][9]. - Even if coding speed were to increase, the majority of a developer's time is spent on reading, thinking, and debugging, which AI cannot significantly accelerate [9][11]. - The notion of a "10x engineer" exists, but it is often due to their ability to avoid unnecessary work rather than a direct result of AI usage [12][14]. Group 3: The Role of Management and Industry Perception - There is a tendency for management to promote the idea of AI-driven productivity to maintain pressure on engineers, which can lead to a toxic work environment [16][21]. - Many claims about AI's capabilities come from those distanced from actual coding work, such as entrepreneurs and investors, rather than from engineers who use these tools daily [18][22]. - The narrative around AI's transformative power can create unnecessary anxiety among engineers, leading them to doubt their skills and contributions [17][22]. Group 4: Emphasis on Enjoyment and Work Satisfaction - The focus should be on finding joy in coding rather than solely on efficiency; enjoying the work can lead to better outcomes in the long run [19][20]. - Engineers are encouraged to choose methods that make them happy, as this can enhance their productivity and creativity [20][22]. - The industry should recognize that fostering a supportive environment is crucial for long-term success, rather than pushing unrealistic productivity expectations [21][22].