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ASML Aims 30% EUV Revenue Growth in FY25: Can it Hit the Target?
ASML HoldingASML Holding(US:ASML) ZACKSยท2025-08-12 15:11

Core Insights - ASML Holding aims for approximately 30% year-over-year growth in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) revenues by 2025, driven by increased Low Numerical Aperture (NA) EUV capacity and initial shipments of High NA systems [1][9] - Advanced customers like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Samsung, and Intel are expected to add around 30% more EUV capacity compared to 2024, further supporting ASML's revenue growth target [1][9] Revenue and Product Performance - The NXE:3800E systems, now operating at a full specification of 220 wafers per hour, will enable customers to expand capacity while maintaining higher average selling prices, leading to improved margins [2] - In DRAM manufacturing, these systems replace complex multi-patterning deep ultraviolet (DUV) steps with single EUV exposures, resulting in reduced costs, shorter cycle times, and improved yields [2] Demand Drivers - Demand is being fueled by artificial intelligence (AI) applications, prompting investments in both logic and memory chips [3] - Logic customers are increasing leading-edge node capacity, while DRAM customers are adding more EUV layers to their latest and future nodes [3] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Applied Materials and KLA Corporation are key players in advanced chipmaking tools, providing equipment that complements or competes with EUV systems [5] - Both companies are benefiting from the growing complexity of semiconductors and are investing in next-generation technologies, although they do not manufacture EUV systems [6] Financial Estimates - ASML expects total revenue growth of around 15% for 2025, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues at $37.83 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 23.8% [4] - The forward price-to-sales ratio for ASML is 7.54X, higher than the industry average of 7.06X [11] - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 imply a year-over-year growth of 30.1%, with recent upward revisions in estimates for both fiscal 2025 and 2026 [14]