Core Viewpoint - The financial market's uncertainty is highlighted, with gold's recent volatility exemplifying the challenges in predicting market movements [2] Market Review - On Monday, gold reached a high of 3405 and a low of 3341, experiencing a significant drop of 64 USD, which erased the previous week's upward momentum [4] - The market's behavior is described as deceptive for bullish traders, who were misled by the previous week's performance [4] Current Market Situation - Following the recent decline, bears have gained a significant advantage, making it increasingly difficult for bulls to reach historical highs [6] - The market sentiment suggests that any upward movements are likely to be for distribution purposes, preparing for larger declines [6] Fundamental Analysis - The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has reached a stalemate, with little expectation for large-scale military engagements [7] - The market is anticipating a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, which is already priced in, but this may signal the end of bullish trends [8] Technical Analysis - After the recent bearish candle, indicators are in an oversold state, suggesting a potential for a strong rebound [10] - Key support levels are identified at 3341, 3330, and 3315, with critical resistance at 3360-62 and 3380 [11] Trading Strategy - The company suggests maintaining short positions above 3360-62 and 3380, while looking for opportunities to enter long positions near support levels [11] - In the silver market, a significant drop was noted, with key resistance at 38.5 and a recent low at 37.5 [11] Position Management - The company has adjusted positions in gold and silver, locking in profits from previous trades while preparing for potential rebounds [13]
黄金,暴跌60美元,反弹后继续跌!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-12 06:30