被印度拒绝后，特朗普转身找中国：希望帮助美农，增加三倍进口量

Core Viewpoint - The trade war initiated by former President Trump through tariffs has led to a global "food crisis," adversely affecting American farmers and demonstrating the failure of unilateral trade policies [2][6]. Group 1: Impact on China - China strategically reduced imports of U.S. soybeans and corn starting in January 2025, opting for supplies from Brazil and Argentina to ensure domestic food security [3]. - In the first half of 2025, China imported 49.37 million tons of soybeans, a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, primarily for animal feed rather than domestic oil and food production [3]. - This shift reflects China's effective response to U.S. policy instability and a strong commitment to maintaining food security [3]. Group 2: Impact on India - The Trump administration's attempts to open the Indian market for U.S. agricultural products were met with resistance from the Modi government, which prioritized domestic farmers' interests [5]. - India's refusal to comply with U.S. demands resulted in the loss of a significant potential export market for American agricultural products [5]. Group 3: Consequences for U.S. Agriculture - The retaliatory tariffs imposed by allies like the EU and Canada severely impacted U.S. agricultural exports, particularly affecting the supply chain for agricultural machinery [6]. - In 2025, U.S. soybean planting area decreased by 4%, with many farmers switching to other crops or facing bankruptcy and unemployment [6]. - The failure of the tariff policy has undermined the political support base for Trump, as many affected farmers were his core supporters [6]. Group 4: Negotiation Dynamics - China has maintained a firm stance, indicating that further trade negotiations are contingent upon the U.S. lifting unreasonable tariffs [7]. - The dual impact of U.S. tariffs has led to immediate product surpluses and price drops, alongside long-term market share losses and damaged international credibility [7]. Group 5: Conclusion on Trade Strategy - The failure of Trump's "first strike, then negotiate" strategy highlights the need for the U.S. to abandon unilateral tariff policies and rebuild international trust through multilateral cooperation [8]. - Without a new fair trade agreement between the U.S. and China, expectations for increased Chinese imports of U.S. agricultural products are unrealistic [8].