江苏神通(002438)：特种阀门龙头企业 核能行业中坚力量

Core Viewpoint - The company specializes in manufacturing valves for various specialized industries, including metallurgy, nuclear power, and petrochemicals, with a strong market presence in nuclear valves and related products [1][2]. Industry Overview - The nuclear power sector is experiencing high growth, with 11 nuclear power units approved in 2024, marking the third consecutive year of approvals exceeding 10 units. By the end of 2024, there will be 27 units under construction, with a total installed capacity of 32.309 million kilowatts [1]. - The petrochemical and metallurgy industries are stabilizing, while emerging sectors like hydrogen energy and semiconductors show significant potential for growth [2][3]. Product and Market Position - The company holds over 70% market share in metallurgy special valves and 90% in nuclear valves, establishing itself as a leading supplier in the nuclear power valve and flange sectors [1]. - The product range includes butterfly valves, flanges, ball valves, blind plates, and gate valves, along with energy-saving services [1]. Future Growth Drivers - The demand for valves in the nuclear sector is expected to remain strong due to ongoing investments and construction activities, with nuclear power investment likely to maintain high levels in the coming years [1]. - The petrochemical industry is stable, with a consistent demand for valve equipment, particularly in the LNG market, which has substantial growth potential [2]. - The semiconductor industry is witnessing an upward trend in sales, driving demand for related valves, with domestic companies increasing their market share from 21% in 2020 to an expected 35% by 2025 [2][3]. Investment Outlook - The company is set to enhance its production capacity for nuclear valves with a new high-end valve smart manufacturing project expected to be operational by the end of this year, increasing annual production capacity to meet the needs of over 12 nuclear power units [4]. - The overall order book is robust, with nuclear orders typically recognized over a 2-3 year period, indicating potential revenue growth as nuclear investment continues to rise [4]. - Projected net profits for the company are estimated at 348 million, 422 million, and 495 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 21x, 18x, and 15x [4].