Workflow
观车 · 论势 || 汽车“出海”正处于提质增量转折期
Zhong Guo Qi Che Bao Wang·2025-08-13 01:41

Core Insights - China's automobile exports have significantly increased from 728,200 units a decade ago to 4.91 million units two years ago, and have surpassed 3 million units in just six months this year, indicating a new stage in development [1] - Experts suggest that the Chinese automotive industry is at a turning point, transitioning from "product export" to "system output," aiming for a shift from scale expansion to quality enhancement [1][2] Group 1: Transition Phases - The first transition phase involves moving from product export to system output, with projections indicating that China will export 6.41 million vehicles in 2024 and potentially exceed 7 million this year [1][2] - The second transition phase focuses on moving from "going out" to "integrating in," where local production in overseas markets is emphasized to capture greater growth opportunities [2][3] - The third transition phase is about shifting from competing on price to competing on quality, aiming to change the perception of Chinese automobiles from "cheap and low quality" to symbols of high quality [2][3] Group 2: Globalization Strategy - The three transitions signify a comprehensive restructuring of China's automotive globalization strategy, entering a new phase of "localization" [3] - Localization encompasses not only the production of parts and vehicles but also the localization of research, marketing, and after-sales services to provide tailored solutions for overseas markets [3] - Companies like Chery Automobile, which has maintained its position as the top exporter of Chinese passenger cars for 22 consecutive years, emphasize the importance of local collaboration and ecological synergy in their global operations [3] Group 3: Market Potential and Challenges - Despite challenges such as fluctuating tariffs, restrictions, and varying international political environments, the potential for growth in overseas markets remains significant, particularly in regions like ASEAN, Russia, and the Middle East [3][4] - Data shows that in the first half of this year, the top three destinations for Chinese automobile exports were Mexico, the UAE, and Russia, with the UAE seeing a year-on-year increase of 58.5% in export volume [3] - The forecast for the "14th Five-Year Plan" period suggests that China's automobile export scale may reach its peak, but the focus should be on the global layout of the automotive supply chain and the upward trajectory of Chinese automotive brands [4]