金晟富：8.13黄金承压下行符合预期！日内黄金行情分析参考

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the impact of recent economic data on gold prices, particularly the expectation of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, which is seen as a catalyst for gold's potential upward movement [1][2] - The latest inflation data has strengthened market expectations for a rate cut, with the probability of a cut rising from 86% to 94% according to the CME FedWatch tool, driven by weak employment data and stable inflation [2] - The extension of the US-China tariff truce for 90 days until November 10 has provided stability to the gold market, enhancing its appeal as a hedge against geopolitical risks [2] Group 2 - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices are currently fluctuating around the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with signs of potential upward movement on the daily chart, while the 4-hour chart shows a more bearish outlook [3][5] - The resistance level for gold is identified at around $3360, with a potential for a downward trend if this level is breached [3][5] - Suggested trading strategies include short positions on rebounds near $3357-$3360 and long positions on pullbacks near $3315-$3320, emphasizing the importance of stop-loss measures [4][5]