豪赌OpenAI，孙正义又“一把翻身”了

Core Insights - SoftBank's Vision Fund 2 has incurred a staggering loss of $22 billion, yet the soaring valuation of OpenAI has propelled SoftBank's stock to a record high, showcasing Masayoshi Son's ability to recover from crises [1][2][4] Investment Performance - The Vision Fund 2, launched in 2019, has lost $22 billion across investments in 280 companies, representing nearly one-third of its invested capital [4] - OpenAI's valuation has surged to $500 billion, nearly doubling SoftBank's previous investment value of $9.7 billion, which is crucial for offsetting the losses from Vision Fund 2 [2][4] Investment Strategy - SoftBank employed a high-leverage strategy for its investment in OpenAI, borrowing billions from various sources, including Japanese banks and private lenders like Apollo [4] - An additional investment of $22.5 billion in OpenAI is anticipated by the end of the year, potentially increasing SoftBank's stake to 12% if the deal is completed [4] Governance Concerns - Unlike the first Vision Fund, the second fund lacks external investors, leading to Masayoshi Son holding 17.25% of the fund, which ties his personal wealth closely to its performance [5] - Concerns have been raised regarding corporate governance, as Son's personal stake may diminish potential returns for SoftBank's shareholders [5] Concentration Risk - The potential additional investment in OpenAI could account for 34% of the total size of Vision Fund 2, raising alarms about high concentration risk reminiscent of past failures like the WeWork investment [6][7]