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白银评论:白银早盘区间低位震荡微涨,追涨或上方压力位空单布局。
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-13 07:40

Fundamental Analysis - Silver prices experienced a slight increase, with spot silver rising by 0.9% to $37.92 per ounce, driven by a weakening dollar [1] - The dollar index fell to a new low of 97.89 since July 28, influenced by moderate inflation data supporting interest rate cut expectations [1] - The softening of the dollar makes gold cheaper for international buyers, stimulating demand [1] - The inflation data showed a mixed performance but is sufficient to support the Federal Reserve's path towards rate cuts [1] Trade Relations Impact - The extension of the US-China tariff ceasefire for an additional 90 days until November 10 provides stability to the gold market [2] - The decision to avoid significant tariffs on each other's goods alleviates potential inflationary pressures [2] - Previous reports of tariffs on imported gold bars had led to a spike in gold prices, but the announcement of the ceasefire extension has reduced trade tensions [2] Economic Indicators - Current inflation data indicates limited transmission effects from tariffs, suggesting that the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target remains on track [3] - Consumer spending may mitigate the impact of tariffs on inflation, but could also lead to a cycle of decreased demand and rising unemployment [3] - Upcoming economic data releases, including PPI, unemployment claims, and retail sales, will be closely monitored, while long-term support for gold is expected from the Fed's loose monetary policy and geopolitical uncertainties [3] Market Trends - The silver market is currently in a price consolidation phase, with support and resistance levels identified for trading strategies [6] - The dollar index is showing a trend of oscillating declines, indicating a cautious trading environment [6] - Suggested trading strategies include positioning for long trades near support levels and short trades near resistance levels, with careful risk management [6]