Lowe's Q2 2025 Earnings Preview: Is LOW Ready to Surprise the Street?

Core Viewpoint - Lowe's Companies, Inc. is set to report its second-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings on August 20, with expectations for revenue of $24.02 billion, reflecting a 1.9% year-over-year growth, and earnings per share (EPS) of $4.24, indicating a 3.4% increase from the previous year [1][9]. Group 1: Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Lowe's revenues stands at $24.02 billion, implying a 1.9% growth from the prior year [1][9]. - The consensus mark for earnings has decreased by a penny to $4.24 per share, still suggesting a 3.4% increase from the year-ago period [1][9]. - Lowe's has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 3.2%, with the last reported quarter outperforming the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.4% [2]. Group 2: Key Growth Drivers - Key factors expected to drive Lowe's second-quarter results include product innovation, the MyLowe's Rewards program, digital expansion, and resilient demand from professional customers [3]. - The acquisition of Artisan Design Group is anticipated to enhance Lowe's reach in design, distribution, and installation for new home construction and large-scale renovations [3]. - Digital growth is a significant contributor, with online sales momentum expected to continue benefiting from the home improvement marketplace powered by Mirakl [4]. Group 3: Customer Experience Enhancements - The rollout of Mylow, an AI-powered virtual home improvement advisor, along with Mylow Companion for associates, is designed to enhance customer experience and improve sales processes [5]. - These tools provide project guidance and product recommendations, which are expected to improve conversion rates and encourage repeat visits [5]. Group 4: Market Conditions and Challenges - Ongoing weakness in DIY big-ticket discretionary categories, such as flooring and kitchens, is a concern due to higher mortgage rates and affordability challenges [7]. - Rising wage and healthcare costs may pressure selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses [7]. - Despite diversifying sourcing, a significant portion of Lowe's purchases still comes from China, exposing the company to potential tariff impacts [7]. Group 5: Earnings Prediction Model - The Zacks model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for Lowe's this quarter, as it has a Zacks Rank of 3 and an Earnings ESP of -0.56% [8][10].