特朗普力荐的美联储理事，可能被同僚冷眼相待！

Core Viewpoint - Stephen Miran, nominated by Trump for the Federal Reserve, is a significant figure who supports Trump's economic agenda, but his unconventional views may clash with mainstream economic thought within the Fed [1][2] Summary by Sections Nomination and Background - Miran is nominated to replace Kugler, who resigned with six months left in her term, meaning Miran's term could last until January 31, 2026, if confirmed by the Senate [1] - His non-mainstream economic views are expected to be highlighted during the Senate Banking Committee confirmation hearing [1] Economic Views - Unlike most mainstream economists, Miran believes that Trump's tariffs on trade partners will not lead to inflation, suggesting that the Fed should have cut rates earlier this year as Trump has advocated [1][2] - He stated there is "no evidence" that tariffs have caused inflation, arguing that predictions of such effects have consistently failed [2] Relationship with the Federal Reserve - Miran's views align closely with Trump's unconventional economic vision, which centers on trade policy reform [2] - He has previously co-authored a paper opposing the independence of the Federal Reserve, although he has softened his stance recently, emphasizing the importance of the Fed's independence in a CNBC interview [3][4] Consensus and Influence - Miran's extreme views on tariffs are not shared by any current Fed officials, who acknowledge that tariffs could raise inflation to some extent [5] - If confirmed, Miran would need to build consensus within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to align the Fed's policies with Trump's preferences, a role typically held by the Fed Chair [6] Future Prospects - Analysts suggest that Miran could be a dark horse candidate for the next Fed Chair, given his close relationship with Trump and his support for the administration's policies [6]