Is Mondelez's Pricing Power Enough to Offset Cocoa Cost Surge?

Core Insights - Mondelez International, Inc. faced significant cocoa cost inflation in Q2 2025, but its pricing power was crucial in driving organic net revenues up by 5.6%, with a 7.1 percentage point contribution from pricing despite a 1.5% decline in volume/mix [1][10] - The adjusted gross profit margin contracted by 680 basis points year-over-year to 33.7% due to increased raw material and transportation costs, as well as an unfavorable product mix [2][10] - Mondelez is implementing another round of pricing increases across its portfolio in North America and emerging markets to combat sustained cocoa inflation [3][10] Pricing and Cost Management - The company is seeing relief in cocoa butter prices, which have decreased to about half of last year's peak levels, although cocoa bean prices remain historically high [4] - Management anticipates that favorable crop conditions in West Africa will lead to easing cocoa prices into 2026, despite low industry stock levels [4][5] - Mondelez's global presence and brand portfolio are aiding in offsetting higher cocoa costs through pricing strategies, although margins remain under pressure [5] Stock Performance and Valuation - Mondelez shares have declined by 9.2% over the past month, underperforming the industry and broader Consumer Staples sector [6] - The stock currently trades at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 19.02, which is above the industry average of 15.59 and the sector's 17.19, indicating market expectations of business stability [11] - Recent upward revisions in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings reflect positive sentiment, with estimates increasing to $3.03 per share for the current fiscal year and $3.35 for the next fiscal year [14]