菲2025年GDP增速难达目标上限

Core Viewpoint - The Philippines is unlikely to achieve its GDP growth target of 6.5% for the year, with a second-quarter growth rate of 5.5% and a first-half growth rate of 5.4% [1] Economic Performance - The Philippines needs to achieve a growth rate of 7.5% in the second half of the year to meet the government's target, which is considered challenging [1] - Fitch Group's BMI forecasts a GDP growth rate of approximately 5.4% for the Philippines this year, with several institutions adjusting their predictions to a more moderate outlook [1] Risks and Challenges - Key risks include a 19% tariff imposed by the U.S. on Philippine goods, a slowdown in the global economy, and a decrease in remittances from overseas workers [1] - While accelerated infrastructure spending by the government and interest rate cuts by the central bank may provide limited support, external factors and weak investment financing are expected to pose downward risks to the economy [1]