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Will BigBear.ai be Able to Offset Army Contract Losses With New Wins?
BigBear.aiBigBear.ai(US:BBAI) ZACKS·2025-08-13 18:06

Core Insights - BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) experienced significant declines in demand for certain Army contracts, impacting revenues and margins, but is pursuing new contracts and partnerships to mitigate these losses [1][4] - The company’s core capabilities in AI-driven mission solutions across various sectors are positioned well for future growth, with notable deployments in biometric solutions and defense autonomy technologies [2][3] Financial Performance - BBAI shares have increased by 48.9% over the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Computers - IT Services industry, the Zacks Computer and Technology sector, and the S&P 500 index [5][7] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 9.67, indicating a discount compared to industry peers, suggesting an attractive entry point for investors [9] Growth Opportunities - The One Big Beautiful Bill (OB3) allocates $170 billion to the Department of Homeland Security and $150 billion to the Department of Defense, which is expected to enhance BBAI's revenue visibility and profitability through its AI-driven solutions [3] - International partnerships in the UAE and Panama are anticipated to drive growth in security and logistics, despite challenges in Army contracts [4][7] Competitive Landscape - BBAI faces competition from firms like Palantir Technologies Inc. and C3.ai, which have also seen stock performance fluctuations, with Palantir gaining 43.3% and C3.ai declining by 26% in the past three months [8] - Despite market trends favoring competitors, BBAI is positioned to benefit from stronger fundamentals compared to its rivals [8] Earnings Estimates - BBAI's earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025 and 2026 remain unchanged at a loss of $0.41 and $0.21, respectively, but indicate year-over-year growth of 62.7% and 49.2% [11]