Company Overview - BigBear.ai was formed through the roll-up of several AI and big data analytics companies by AEI Industrial Partners, and it went public via a SPAC merger in 2021, with some components dating back to 1988 [2] - The company offers biometrics software, including facial recognition and contactless identity screening, deployed at major U.S. airports, along with big data analytics solutions targeting various industries [3] Business Performance - First-quarter revenue increased by 5% year over year to $34.8 million, but operating losses narrowed from $98.1 million to $21.2 million due to a one-time $85 million goodwill impairment charge [4] - Adjusted EBITDA indicates that losses have increased more than fourfold, from $1.6 million to $7 million [5] - Management expresses optimism about strategic focus areas such as border security, trade, and shipbuilding, although it raises questions about the sustainability of these efforts [6] Market Comparison - BigBear.ai and Palantir Technologies both operate in big data analytics and AI-enabled SaaS, but their growth rates differ significantly, with BigBear.ai's sales growing by only 5% compared to Palantir's 39% [8][9] - BigBear.ai has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 12, while Palantir's is 122, indicating a significant valuation difference despite Palantir's higher growth rate [9] Investment Outlook - The stock price of BigBear.ai has increased by 78% year to date, driven by market hype around AI and big data analytics, but fundamental weaknesses may hinder long-term investment potential [10]

Core Insights - Palantir Technologies has become a leading player in the AI and defense tech sector, with its stock rising by 80% in the first half of 2025 and 427% over the past year, making it the top performer in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 [1] - BigBear.ai, a competitor in the defense tech space, has also seen significant stock growth, with shares increasing by 357% over the last year, raising questions about its potential to rival Palantir [2] Company Performance - BigBear.ai's stock has experienced high volatility, initially rising after the announcement of Project Stargate, which aims to invest $500 billion in AI projects by 2029 [3] - Despite early gains, BigBear.ai's stock retreated following the Pentagon's plans to cut its budget by 8% annually, which initially impacted defense contractors negatively [5] - The DOD's budget cuts are focused on non-essential areas, allowing for capital reallocation towards tech initiatives, which may benefit companies like BigBear.ai [6][7] Financial Comparison - BigBear.ai reported $160 million in sales with gross margins below 30%, leading to continued losses [10] - In contrast, Palantir generated $487 million in government revenue in Q1 2025, nearly three times BigBear.ai's annual revenue, with gross margins around 80% and a net income exceeding $570 million over the last year [12] - BigBear.ai's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is around 11, which appears cheap compared to Palantir's P/S ratio of 120, but the disparity is attributed to Palantir's strong profit margins and growth in both public and private sectors [13] Market Position - BigBear.ai's CEO has strategic ties to the government, which may enhance its visibility and opportunities in the defense sector [8] - However, the company is not expected to become a significant competitor to Palantir, which is viewed as a leader in the defense tech space [14]

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) closed at $7.95 in the latest trading session, marking a -3.28% move from the prior day. The stock fell short of the S&P 500, which registered a loss of 0.01% for the day. Elsewhere, the Dow saw a downswing of 0.32%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq appreciated by 0.05%. Coming into today, shares of the company had gained 107.58% in the past month. In that same time, the Computer and Technology sector gained 7.44%, while the S&P 500 gained 5.37%. The upcoming earnings release of ...

BigBear.ai (BBAI 16.01%) saw its stock close at $8.22 on Thursday, July 17, marking a significant 15.5% increase. The intraday trading showed notable volatility, ranging between a low of $7.25 and a high of $8.38.In the context of broader market movements, BigBear.ai's performance outstripped that of key indices. The S&P 500 saw a 0.54% increase, while the Nasdaq Composite rose by 0.74%, indicating that the stock's robust rise was primarily driven by company-specific excitement rather than macroeconomic fac ...

You may not even realize how much artificial intelligence (AI) has already infiltrated daily lives -- voice assistants on smartphones, personalized recommendations when you shop online or watch a video, personalized ads, auto tagging on photos, smart home devices and AI-powered customer service bots -- and that just scratches the surface. AI is already everywhere and it's going to get even more ubiquitous.But you may not realize that AI is also deeply embedded in the U.S. government. And it's working with s ...

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) closed the most recent trading day at $7.10, moving +2.6% from the previous trading session. The stock exceeded the S&P 500, which registered a loss of 0.4% for the day. Elsewhere, the Dow saw a downswing of 0.98%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq appreciated by 0.18%. Prior to today's trading, shares of the company had gained 67.15% outpaced the Computer and Technology sector's gain of 6.34% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.97%.Market participants will be closely following the financ ...

Company Overview - BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. (BBAI) shares increased by 2.6% to close at $7.10, reflecting positive investor sentiment towards the company's strategic initiatives in aviation security [1] - The stock has gained momentum following a significant collaboration with Analogic, a leader in aviation security systems [1] Trading Activity - Trading volume surged to approximately 134 million shares, an 8% increase over recent norms, indicating substantial institutional interest in the company's growth in critical infrastructure security [2] - The stock traded within an intraday range of $6.68 to $7.17, but remains below its all-time high of $12.69, suggesting potential for recovery [2] Strategic Partnership - The partnership with Analogic combines BigBear.ai's advanced computer vision screening capabilities with Analogic's Computed Tomograph (CT) scanner technology, enhancing threat detection at airports globally [3] - This collaboration aims to deliver real-time, AI-driven threat detection insights to airport security teams through the Pangiam Threat Detection and Decision Support Platform [3] Competitive Landscape - In comparison, direct competitors showed mixed performance, with Palantir Technologies declining by 0.38% to $148.58 and C3.ai gaining 0.86% to close at $27.03 [4]

Key Takeaways BBAI reported a $7M adjusted EBITDA loss in Q1, wider than last year's $1.6M due to R&D and funding delays. Cash surged to $108M from $50M, driven by $58M in debt reduction from note conversions. Backlog rose 30% to $385M, reflecting demand for BBAI's AI solutions in defense and critical infrastructure.BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) is navigating a mixed financial picture in early 2025, leaving investors to weigh short-term margin pressure against longer-term strategic flexibility. In its first- ...

Core Insights - BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) has experienced a significant stock surge of nearly 86% over the past month, outperforming the broader market and tech peers [1][8] - Despite this rally, BBAI's stock is still trading at a 31% discount from its 52-week high of $10.36, while showing a 514% premium to its 52-week low [2] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, BigBear.ai reported a 5% year-over-year revenue growth to $34.8 million, driven by projects with the Department of Homeland Security and digital identity initiatives [5] - The company's backlog increased by 30% year-over-year to $385 million, indicating strong future demand in national security, defense, and global infrastructure sectors [5][8] - BigBear.ai ended Q1 with $107.6 million in cash, significantly up from $50.1 million at the end of 2024, providing more flexibility for investments [15] Strategic Initiatives - Under new CEO Kevin McAleenan, BigBear.ai is focusing on mission-critical applications, including AI in defense and homeland security [6][7] - The company secured a key contract for the Department of Defense's Joint Staff J35 Orion AI platform, enhancing its position in national security applications [7] - BigBear.ai is also involved in Project Linchpin, a U.S. Army initiative for AI-driven drone operations, showcasing its commitment to defense technology [7] Partnerships and Market Position - BigBear.ai has formed strategic partnerships both domestically and internationally, including collaborations with Easy Lease and Vigilix in the UAE, and Analogic for airport security enhancements [10][11] - High-profile partnerships with Amazon, Palantir, and Autodesk further validate BigBear.ai's AI solutions and expand its market credibility [11] Valuation Metrics - Despite the stock surge, BigBear.ai's forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 11.66 remains below the industry average of 19.3, suggesting it is relatively undervalued [12] - The company's historical P/S range indicates that current levels are not overstretched, especially given the rising importance of AI in defense [12] Earnings Outlook - BigBear.ai is expected to post a loss of 41 cents per share in 2025, an improvement from last year's loss of $1.10, with estimates for 2026 slightly adjusted to a projected loss of 21 cents per share [16][17] - Adjusted EBITDA remains negative at $7 million in Q1, but the reaffirmation of revenue guidance for 2025 ($160 million to $180 million) reflects confidence in future execution [16]

BigBear.ai (BBAI -3.26%) has had quite the 2025. The stock is up an outstanding 70% year to date, but it has also been down as much as 46%. This stock has been an absolute rollercoaster ride for investors, but those who have stayed patient have done well.Here's the big question: Will the rollercoaster ride continue its upward trend, or is a huge drop ahead? Let's take a look at what's in store for the rest of 2025 to see whether this is a smart artificial intelligence (AI) stock to scoop up now. BigBear.ai' ...