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海合会国家经济保持稳健增长态势(国际视点)
Ren Min Ri Bao·2025-08-13 21:50

Economic Growth Projections - The World Bank's report predicts that the economic growth rate of Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries will rise from 1.8% in 2024 to 3.2% in 2025, and further to 4.5% by 2026, driven by the recovery of the oil and gas market, economic diversification, and sound fiscal policies [1][5][6] GCC Economic Performance - The GCC countries exhibit varied economic growth rates ranging from 2.2% to 4.6%, with controlled inflation and stable sovereign debt outlooks [2] - The UAE's GDP is projected to grow at an average rate of 4.8% from 2021 to 2024, with the non-oil economy growing at 6.2% [2] - In the first half of this year, the UAE's non-oil foreign trade exceeded 1.7 trillion dirhams (approximately 462 billion USD), marking a historical high with a year-on-year increase of 24.5% [2] Saudi Arabia's Economic Resilience - Saudi Arabia, as the largest economy in the GCC, is expected to see its GDP growth rate rise to 3.9% by 2026, with non-oil economic activities expanding and unemployment rates declining [3] - In Q2 of this year, Saudi Arabia's non-oil revenue reached nearly 40 billion USD, accounting for 49.7% of total government revenue, indicating significant progress in economic diversification [3] Oman and Bahrain's Economic Strategies - Oman's public debt-to-GDP ratio has decreased from 68% in 2020 to 35% in 2024 due to effective fiscal management and economic diversification [3] - Bahrain is focusing on developing its financial services, manufacturing, and tourism sectors, with the financial services sector becoming the largest economic sector in the country [3] Oil and Gas Sector Dynamics - Oil and gas exports remain crucial for GCC economies, with a projected 3% decrease in oil economic output in 2024 due to production cuts, while non-oil economy is expected to grow by 3.9% [5] - The GCC countries have accelerated their economic diversification, with non-oil GDP contributions exceeding 50% in all member states, and Bahrain leading at 85% [5] China-GCC Cooperation - China continues to deepen its cooperation with GCC countries, maintaining its position as the largest trading partner and the top exporter of petrochemical products [6] - In 2024, trade between China and GCC countries is expected to reach 288.09 billion USD, with China importing 180 million tons of crude oil from GCC nations [6] Future Collaboration Prospects - GCC countries express optimism about strengthening practical cooperation with China, with Saudi Aramco planning to expand investments in China [7] - UAE businesses are eager to collaborate with more Chinese enterprises to contribute to the economic development between China and the UAE [7]