Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-08-14 01:46Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains the profit forecast for WH Group (00288) for 2025/2026, with the current stock price corresponding to 8.5/8.2 times the P/E ratio for 2025/2026. The target price is raised by approximately 11% to HKD 9.5 per share, indicating an upside potential of about 13.6% compared to the current stock price [1]. Group 1 - In Q2 2025, revenue reached USD 6.833 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.8%; operating profit was USD 661 million, up 3.4%; core net profit attributable to shareholders (excluding biological asset value changes) was USD 361 million, down 8.1%. Adjusting for a government subsidy of USD 87 million received by the U.S. subsidiary in Q2 2024, the core net profit would show a year-on-year increase of 18% [2]. - The company expects a year-on-year increase in meat product sales in China for Q2 2025, with significant growth in emerging channels. Sales growth is anticipated to improve quarter by quarter in the second half of the year, with slight increases expected in both annual sales and profit per ton [2]. - The company’s slaughtering volume is expected to increase, along with customer and outlet coverage. However, due to increased competition and market investments, per capita profit is expected to be under pressure [2]. Group 2 - In the North American region, Q2 2025 meat product sales showed a slight year-on-year increase, with profit per ton remaining high. The pig farming business is expected to remain optimistic in the second half of the year. The company estimates that Q2 2025 sales volume for meat products returned to positive growth, maintaining high profit levels [2]. - The company anticipates that the upstream farming profitability in Q2 2025 will improve year-on-year, primarily due to rising pig prices and low feed costs. Overall profitability in pig farming is expected to continue to show a good trend in the second half of the year, with the subsidiary Smithfield raising its full-year pig farming profit guidance to USD 0-100 million [2].