国海证券：欧洲海上风电再加速 我国海风厂商迎出口机遇

Core Insights - The European offshore wind power market is expected to quadruple in demand driven by "net zero emissions" and "energy independence" goals, with a projected cumulative installation of 126GW from 2025 to 2034, averaging over 12GW annually, which is more than four times the average installation from 2020 to 2024 [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Growth and Demand - The offshore wind power market in Europe is projected to grow significantly, with the underwater foundation market expected to double to 25 billion yuan in the next three years and exceed 40 billion yuan by 2030 [1][6] - The submarine cable market is anticipated to reach 30 billion yuan per year by 2030, representing an approximate 200% increase from 2025 [1][6] Group 2: Policy and Macro Environment - The macroeconomic environment is expected to improve from 2024, with significant policy support for offshore wind development, including increased auction price limits and extended contract durations [3][4] - The EU has set a roadmap to completely eliminate dependence on Russian gas imports by 2027, further emphasizing the need for offshore wind as a key component of energy transition [2][3] Group 3: Supply Chain Dynamics - There is a growing supply chain bottleneck in Europe for offshore wind equipment, with local manufacturers facing long delivery times, while Chinese companies are expanding capacity and can effectively fill this gap [4][5] - The UK shows the highest enthusiasm for offshore wind development, with significant policy support and a pressing need for imported equipment due to a lack of domestic production capacity [5][6]