奔驰CEO警告：如果欧盟执意在2035年起全面禁售新燃油车，欧洲汽车工业将会“崩溃”【附新能源汽车行业市场分析】

Core Viewpoint - The transition to electric vehicles (EVs) in the global automotive market is accelerating, but traditional automakers face significant challenges, particularly in Europe, where a potential ban on new internal combustion engine vehicles by 2035 could lead to market instability and a decline in the automotive industry [2][3]. Group 1: Challenges Facing Traditional Automakers - Mercedes-Benz CEO Ola Källenius warns that a strict EU ban on new fossil fuel vehicles could cause the European automotive industry to "collapse" [2]. - Källenius highlights multiple challenges for European automakers, including weak demand, increased external competition, and low EV sales [2]. - The slow development of charging infrastructure, high electricity prices, and tax burdens are hindering consumer willingness to purchase electric vehicles [2]. Group 2: Performance of Luxury Brands - In the first half of 2025, major German luxury car brands (Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Audi) experienced declines in both sales and profits, with Mercedes-Benz's net profit dropping by 55.8% [2]. Group 3: Growth of the New Energy Vehicle Market - The global new energy vehicle market reached a size of $505.27 billion in 2023, with China contributing 63% of this market share, and the penetration rate increasing from 5.4% in 2020 to 40.3% by November 2024 [3]. - In 2022, China's new energy vehicle sales surged to 6.887 million units, a year-on-year increase of 93.4% [6]. - From 2012 to 2023, China's new energy vehicle sales grew from 12,800 units to 9.495 million units, demonstrating rapid development [6]. Group 4: Impact of Policy Changes in China - Following the reduction of subsidies in 2020, China's new energy vehicle sales increased nearly tenfold over four years, leading to the rise of domestic leaders like BYD and NIO [7]. - China's new energy vehicle sales now account for over 70% of the global total, with a penetration rate rising from 5.4% to 40.9% [7]. Group 5: Global Trends in Electric Vehicle Development - The shift towards electric vehicles is seen as an irreversible trend, with countries worldwide beginning their transitions following China's lead in becoming the largest market for new energy vehicles since 2015 [9].