8月14日【油价下跌】原油大降超10.5%，国内92,95号汽油“跌超480元/吨”，下次8月26日调价，油价降回“6元时代”？

Core Viewpoint - The domestic fuel prices in China have not changed for the fourth time in 2025, with the latest adjustment reflecting a significant decline in international oil prices, leading to expectations of further decreases in domestic fuel prices [1][5]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - The latest round of domestic fuel price adjustments has resulted in a decrease of 0.1-0.11 CNY per liter for gasoline and diesel, following a previous drop on July 16 [1]. - The current price for 92 gasoline is around 7.2 CNY per liter, with the last two adjustments showing a "two consecutive suspensions" in price changes [1][5]. - The 17th price adjustment cycle has seen a decrease of 250 CNY per ton, translating to a reduction of approximately 0.2-0.23 CNY per liter for gasoline and diesel [5]. Group 2: International Oil Market Trends - International oil prices experienced a rise at the end of July and early August, with WTI reaching 70 USD per barrel and Brent at 73.24 USD per barrel, but have since declined due to concerns over oversupply and weak economic data from the U.S. [3]. - As of August 13, WTI oil was priced at 62.65 USD per barrel, and Brent at 65.63 USD per barrel, reflecting a drop of over 10.5% [3]. - The recent cycle has seen an "8 consecutive declines" in oil prices, leading to a total decrease of 230 CNY per ton in the last adjustment [3][5]. Group 3: Future Expectations - The current downward trend in international oil prices may lead to further reductions in domestic fuel prices, with potential decreases exceeding 300 CNY per ton if the trend continues [5]. - However, uncertainties remain due to geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding the Russia-Ukraine situation, which could impact future price adjustments [5].