Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-08-14 07:21Core Viewpoint - 康师傅控股's stock rebounded over 3%, closing at HKD 11.5 with a trading volume of HKD 147 million, indicating positive market sentiment despite mixed forecasts from analysts [1] Group 1: Revenue and Profit Forecasts - 星展银行 has lowered 康师傅's revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 4%, but raised the gross margin forecast by 1 percentage point, particularly in the ready-to-drink beverage segment [1] - The bank expects 康师傅 to achieve a 7% core profit growth in the second half of the year, compared to a 12% year-on-year increase in the first half, mainly due to cost control [1] - The annual compound growth rate from 2024 to 2026 is projected at 10%, with profit forecasts for the next two years increased by 5% and 1% respectively, reflecting additional income [1] Group 2: Management Guidance and Market Conditions - 里昂证券 noted that 康师傅's management provided new revenue guidance for the fiscal year 2025, aiming for flat to low single-digit year-on-year growth, with core net profit expected to grow at a double-digit rate [1] - Despite uncertainties in the competitive landscape and beverage recovery, 里昂 believes 康师傅's profit growth visibility is high due to better cost control [1] - The firm maintains that 康师傅's double-digit core profit growth target is achievable, although its revenue forecast is slightly below the company's guidance [1]