印度遭遇重创，特朗普对中国签下总统令，莫迪在中美两头碰壁

Core Viewpoint - India's diplomatic strategy, characterized as a "fence-sitting" approach, has backfired amid the US-China rivalry, leading to increased pressure from the US and a need to recalibrate relations with China [1][8][37]. Group 1: Diplomatic Relations - The signing of a presidential order by Trump to extend the tariff suspension with China has significantly impacted India's position in international trade, undermining its efforts to strengthen ties with the US [4][6]. - Despite India's willingness to cooperate in multiple rounds of trade negotiations with the US, no substantial agreements have been reached due to stringent US demands [6][11]. - India's strategy of balancing relations between the US and China has become increasingly precarious, especially with its continued import of Russian oil, which has strained US-India relations [10][20][24]. Group 2: Economic Implications - India's reliance on Russian oil imports has positioned Russia as a major supplier, complicating its energy strategy and leading to heightened tensions with the US [18][20]. - The Modi government recognizes the need for energy diversification and security, viewing cooperation with Russia as essential despite the diplomatic fallout with the US [27][29]. - The deterioration of US-India relations could result in India losing influence in other international matters, prompting the government to seek a more balanced diplomatic approach [29][31]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Moving forward, India must adjust its foreign policy to avoid isolation, balancing its relationships with the US, China, and Russia while maintaining strategic autonomy [34][35]. - The Modi administration faces the challenge of navigating complex international dynamics without compromising India's independence, which will be crucial for its global standing [35][37].