北京空置率降至16.9%，新质生产力成办公市场新增量

Core Viewpoint - The real estate market, particularly the office space sector, is currently undergoing a "price-for-volume" adjustment, but core business districts are showing resilience through rental adaptation and industrial upgrades, with new productivity-related office demands expected to be a key factor in overcoming challenges [1][7]. Office Market Overview - According to data from DTZ, the vacancy rates for Grade A office buildings in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen by Q2 2025 are 16.9%, 23.6%, 19.8%, and 27.8% respectively [3]. - Beijing has the lowest vacancy rate at 16.9%, which has improved from 18.3% at the end of 2024, attributed to no new supply in the second half of the year and ongoing inventory reduction [3]. - In contrast, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen have seen rising vacancy rates, with Shenzhen facing the most significant pressure at 27.8%, exacerbated by an additional 1.22 million square meters of new supply expected to enter the market [4]. Tenant Composition and Trends - Financial services remain the dominant sector in office leasing, accounting for 20% of rental transactions in the first half of 2025, with notable companies including Huaxia Fund and Aijian Securities [4][5]. - The technology and professional services sectors are tied for second place, each representing 13% of leasing activity, with tech firms focusing on hard technology fields such as semiconductors and AI [5][6]. - The Shanghai Zhonghai Center recorded a net absorption of 70,000 square meters in 2024, becoming a leading project in Shanghai's office market, emphasizing the creation of a legal service ecosystem [6]. Emerging Sectors and Future Outlook - New productivity sectors such as healthcare and retail are becoming significant growth drivers in the office leasing market, with expectations for increased leasing activity in technology, healthcare, and media sectors [7]. - The office market is anticipated to evolve towards a "diversified ecosystem," supported by policy initiatives, asset upgrades, and the introduction of emerging industries [7]. - In first-tier cities, leasing companies are primarily focused on financial, multinational pharmaceutical, and hard technology headquarters, while new first-tier cities like Chengdu and Zhuhai are attracting regional headquarters and specialized R&D centers through competitive advantages [7].