Aflac Loads the Buyback Cannon as New Sales Signal Strength

Core Insights - Aflac Incorporated (AFL) has expanded its share repurchase program by adding 100 million shares to the existing 30.9 million, bringing the total buyback capacity to approximately 130.9 million shares, indicating management's confidence in the company's long-term prospects [1][8] - In Q2, Aflac repurchased 7.9 million shares for $829 million and declared a dividend of 58 cents per share, with a dividend yield of 2.24%, surpassing the industry average of 2.05% [2][8] - Aflac ended Q2 with $7 billion in cash and cash equivalents, an 11.8% increase from year-end 2024, and maintained a total debt-to-capital ratio of 24.7%, below the industry average [3] Financial Performance - Adjusted net investment income rose to $1 billion in Q2, with the U.S. segment's pre-tax profit margin improving to 21.6% from 21.1% in 2024 [3] - Aflac Japan reported an 18.7% year-over-year sales increase to $236 million in H1 2025, driven by sales momentum from Miraito and new product launches [4][8] Industry Context - Other insurers like Aon plc and Marsh & McLennan are also engaging in shareholder-friendly initiatives, including share repurchase programs and dividends [5] - Aon repurchased 0.7 million shares for approximately $250 million in Q2, while Marsh & McLennan bought back 1.4 million shares worth $300 million [6] Valuation and Estimates - Aflac shares have gained 2.2% year-to-date, slightly outperforming the industry growth of 2% [7] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 14.91, above the industry average of 12.14, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings at $6.81 per share, reflecting a 5.6% decline from the previous year [10][11]