供需改善，水泥行业即将开启新一轮涨价

Industry Overview - Starting from August 15, cement companies in Wuhan and the eastern Hubei region will increase prices by 30 yuan per ton due to improved market supply-demand dynamics and low current prices [1] - The majority of regional cement prices have reached or fallen below cost lines, with rising coal prices further increasing operational pressures on companies [1] - Companies in the Yangtze River Delta, Hubei, Hunan, and Sichuan-Chongqing regions are actively discussing staggered production plans to alleviate operational pressures, which may lead to a recovery in cement prices [1] Demand Forecast - The establishment of the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway Company on August 7, 2025, is expected to drive significant cement demand, with an estimated requirement of approximately 3,960 million tons over the construction period [1] - Assuming an average annual demand of 495 million tons over eight years, the demand elasticity for cement in Xinjiang and Tibet is projected to be 2.5% and 28.5%, respectively, based on 2024 production estimates [1] Company Insights - Companies such as Conch Cement, Shangfeng Cement, and Huaxin Cement are noted for their cost advantages in the current market environment [2]