黄金今日行情走势要点分析（2025.8.15）

Group 1: Economic Data and Federal Reserve Expectations - The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for July surged 3.3% year-on-year, significantly exceeding the market expectation of 2.5%, marking the largest increase in three years, driven by rising costs of goods and services [2] - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. decreased by 3,000 to 224,000, below the expected 228,000, indicating resilience in the labor market, which reduces the necessity for aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2] - Federal Reserve officials, including St. Louis Fed President Bullard, stated that with the economy nearing full employment and inflation above target, a 50 basis point rate cut is "not necessary" [3] Group 2: Geopolitical Developments - U.S. President Trump is set to meet with Russian President Putin on August 15 in Anchorage, Alaska, with expectations that Putin is prepared to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict, although a peace agreement may require further discussions with Ukrainian leadership [4] - Ukrainian President Zelensky and European allies are intensifying efforts to prevent a potential agreement between the U.S. and Russia that could pose future risks to Ukraine, indicating that the meeting may influence the outcome of the ongoing conflict [4] Group 3: Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold prices experienced a significant decline, with a key reversal pattern forming as the price fell from 3374/3375 to a low of 3330/3329, indicating a potential end to the recent upward trend [6] - The daily moving averages are showing a bearish trend, with the 5-day moving average acting as a resistance level, suggesting that any price rebounds may face pressure near this level [6] - On a four-hour basis, the current downtrend is identified as part of a larger wave structure, with critical resistance levels at 3343/3344 and 3359, while support levels are noted at 3322/3321 and 3310 [8]